File:Deforestation and world population sustainability - a quantitative analysis.pdf

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Deforestation and world population sustainability: a quantitative analysis

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English: In this paper we afford a quantitative analysis of the sustainability of current world population growth in relation to the parallel deforestation process adopting a statistical point of view. We consider a simplified model based on a stochastic growth process driven by a continuous time random walk, which depicts the technological evolution of human kind, in conjunction with a deterministic generalised logistic model for humans-forest interaction and we evaluate the probability of avoiding the self-destruction of our civilisation. Based on the current resource consumption rates and best estimate of technological rate growth our study shows that we have very low probability, less than 10% in most optimistic estimate, to survive without facing a catastrophic collapse.
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Source https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-63657-6
Author Mauro Bologna & Gerardo Aquino

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current03:46, 2 September 2020Thumbnail for version as of 03:46, 2 September 20201,239 × 1,629, 9 pages (2.82 MB)Koavf (talk | contribs)Uploaded a work by Mauro Bologna & Gerardo Aquino from https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-63657-6 with UploadWizard

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